Brexit still a step away from being a done deal

China Plus Published: 2019-10-18 20:23:39
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Note: The following article is taken from the Chinese-language "Commentaries on International Affairs."

After months of widespread pessimism about the likelihood that a new Brexit deal could be reached, the news arrived on Thursday that Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson had hammered out an agreement with the leaders of the European Union just hours before a leaders’ summit. But it's not time to celebrate just yet.

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson leaves the podium after addressing a press conference at a European Union leaders’ summit in Brussels on Thursday, October 17, 2019. Britain and the European Union reached a tentative new Brexit deal on Thursday in the hope of bringing to an end their three-year divorce battle. [Photo: AP/IC]

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson leaves the podium after addressing a press conference at a European Union leaders’ summit in Brussels on Thursday, October 17, 2019. Britain and the European Union reached a tentative new Brexit deal on Thursday in the hope of bringing to an end their three-year divorce battle. [Photo: AP/IC]

This is not the first time that an in-principle agreement has been reached. Theresa May made a deal with the European Union when she was in office, but it was repeatedly rejected by both her Cabinet and the Parliament.

As for the new deal, it could be expected to get the go-ahead from the European Parliament, as the European Union has been well coordinated when it comes to preparing for Britain's departure from the Union. But across the Channel, the new deal is facing opposition from the Labour Party, which says the new deal is worse than the one Theresa May agreed with Brussels. And the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland, a key player in the negotiations, has also rejected the deal. It's widely believed that it will be very difficult to get the deal through Parliament without the support of the DUP.

The defining characteristic of the Brexit process has been the extended period of uncertainty. The new deal raises the prospect that Britain can finally leave the European Union with a deal, but the differing views among Britain's political parties mean we will have to wait until the deal is voted on during a special session of Parliament on Saturday to see whether this saga has finally come to an end.

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LU Xiankun Professor LU Xiankun is Managing Director of LEDECO Geneva and Associate Partner of IDEAS Centre Geneva. He is Emeritus Professor of China Institute for WTO Studies of the University of International Business and Economics (UIBE) and Wuhan University (WHU) of China and visiting professor or senior research fellow of some other universities and think tanks in China and Europe. He also sits in management of some international business associations and companies, including as Senior Vice President of Shenzhen UEB Technology LTD., a leading e-commerce company of China. Previously, Mr. LU was senior official of Chinese Ministry of Commerce and senior diplomat posted in Europe, including in Geneva as Counsellor and Head of Division of the Permanent Mission of China to the WTO and in Brussels as Commercial Secretary of the Permanent Mission of China to the EU. Benjamin Cavender Benjamin Cavender is a Shanghai based consultant with more than 11 years of experience helping companies understand consumer behavior and develop go to market strategies for China. He is a frequent speaker on economic and consumer trends in China and is often featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Channel News Asia. Sara Hsu Sara Hsu is an associate professor from the State University of New York at New Paltz. She is a regular commentator on Chinese economy. Xu Qinduo Xu Qinduo is CRI's former chief correspondent to Washington DC, the United States. He works as the producer, host and commentator for TODAY, a flagship talk show on current affairs. Mr. Xu contributes regularly to English-language newspapers including Shenzhen Daily and Global Times as well as Chinese-language radio and TV services. Lin Shaowen A radio person, Mr. Lin Shaowen is strongly interested in international relations and Chinese politics. As China is quite often misunderstood in the rest of the world, he feels the need to better present the true picture of the country, the policies and meanings. So he talks a lot and is often seen debating. Then friends find a critical Lin Shaowen criticizing and criticized. George N. Tzogopoulos Dr George N. Tzogopoulos is an expert in media and politics/international relations as well as Chinese affairs. He is Senior Research Fellow at the Centre International de Européenne (CIFE) and Visiting Lecturer at the European Institute affiliated with it and is teaching international relations at the Department of Law of the Democritus University of Thrace. George is the author of two books: US Foreign Policy in the European Media: Framing the Rise and Fall of Neoconservatism (IB TAURIS) and The Greek Crisis in the Media: Stereotyping in the International Press (Ashgate) as well as the founder of chinaandgreece.com, an institutional partner of CRI Greek. David Morris David Morris is the Pacific Islands Trade and Investment Commissioner in China, a former Australian diplomat and senior political adviser. Harvey Dzodin After a distinguished career in the US government and American media Dr. Harvey Dzodin is now a Beijing-based freelance columnist for several media outlets. While living in Beijing, he has published over 200 columns with an emphasis on arts, culture and the Belt & Road initiative. He is also a sought-after speaker and advisor in China and abroad. He currently serves as Nonresident Research Fellow of the think tank Center for China and Globalization and Senior Advisor of Tsinghua University National Image Research Center specializing in city branding. Dr. Dzodin was a political appointee of President Jimmy Carter and served as lawyer to a presidential commission. Upon the nomination of the White House and the US State Department he served at the United Nations Office in Vienna, Austria. He was Director and Vice President of the ABC Television in New York for more than two decades.