New opportunities for China to counter downward pressure on growth

China Plus Published: 2019-03-05 14:44:29
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By Wang Shanshan

Will China be able to maintain steady growth this year despite the challenges facing the world's economy? The answer to this question was loud and clear when China's Premier Li Keqiang delivered the government work report at the opening session of the National People's Congress on Tuesday. In addition to the growth rate the world is watching, a bunch of new measures have been promised to support the country's ongoing development. Understanding these opportunities helps businesses at home and abroad to get the upper hand in an international environment that is looking less promising than it was a few years ago.

A view of the Port of Qingdao, Shandong Province, February 13, 2019. [Photo: VCG]

A view of the Port of Qingdao, Shandong Province, February 13, 2019. [Photo: VCG]

The work report released during the Two Sessions – the annual meetings of the national legislature and the country's top political advisory body – plays a major role in setting the agenda for the year ahead. The government set the growth rate for this year at 6-6.5 percent. It has also set a target to add 11 million new urban jobs, reduce the number of people living in rural poverty by over 10 million, and make further improvements in environmental protection.

Confidence in China's ability to reach these goals is buttressed by the country's achievements in 2018. Despite the gloomy predictions of some analysts, China's GDP grew by 6.6 percent last year to hit 90.03 trillion yuan (about 13.46 trillion U.S. dollars), which is in line with the predictions of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

China's Premier said the real economy faces many problems and downward pressure continues to increase, therefore the difficulties must not be underestimated. However, China's confidence has not weakened, given its resilience, potential and creativity.

Reducing the burdens on businesses

Last year saw the government dramatically ease the tax burden on enterprises and taxpayers to the tune of around 1.3 trillion yuan. The trend towards lower taxes will continue thanks to the roll out of large scale tax cuts targeting the manufacturing and small business sector, which provide the economy with 80 percent of its job creation and 50 percent of its revenue. The tax burden and social insurance contributions of enterprises will be reduced by nearly two trillion yuan this year, and there will be a substantial boost in loans to small businesses.

China's government is determined to improve the business environment for both domestic and international enterprises by reducing the burden of regulation, improving government services, enhancing protection of intellectual property rights, and reducing government-imposed fees and charges. It's clear that promoting fair competition and making the most out of the market's vitality is high on the government's agenda.

Opening the door to its economy wider

While some countries are closing their doors and imposing trade barriers, China's government is opening the doors to the country's economy even wider to the world. Concrete measures mentioned in the government work report include opening more sectors to foreign investment, following financial services, information technology, and motor vehicle manufacturing.

During the Two Sessions, lawmakers will deliberate a key piece of legislation – the foreign investment law. If it is adopted, the law will replace three existing laws governing foreign investment. The new law will lower industry and regional barriers, widen market access, provide a level playing field for government procurement, and strengthen the protection of property rights. These measures will all help to create new opportunities for global investors.

The optimism about China's economy is shared by the international enterprises doing business here. Last year, China broke records on both foreign trade and foreign direct investment, with the number of new foreign enterprises growing by 70 percent. In its latest business climate survey, the American Chamber of Commerce in China said that 62 percent of its members saw China as one of their top three global priority areas for investment. Against the backdrop of lackluster global growth, many international enterprises see the logic in securing their place in the world's second-largest economy.

Driving growth with innovation

Some international observers have suggested that China has a comparative advantage when it comes to artificial intelligence, deep learning, and big data, and that there is a good chance China will be the leader in these fields five years from now. Whether or not this plays out, over the past few years China has been transforming its economy into one that is greener, more innovative, and more sustainable – and these efforts will be stepped up even further this year.

According to the government work report, China will bolster its research and development capability in the application of big data and artificial intelligence technologies, and foster emerging industries like next-generation information technology, biomedicine, new-energy automobiles, and new materials science. Steps being taken to make that happen include the launch of a science and technology innovation board with a registration-based initial public offering (IPO) system. This pilot program, which took effect on March 1, aims to improve the financing environment for high-tech companies. This is just one of the measures that are expected to help China phase out old drivers of growth.

The bigger the economy, the more effort it takes to generate each percentage point of growth. And mounting protectionism and unilateralism in parts of the world economy has exacerbated global instability and uncertainty. Despite these pressures, China's wide-ranging and comprehensive new measures to support its economy will help to ensure that its local enterprises and global partners can continue to enjoy the benefits of the country's ongoing development.

Editor's note: Wang Shanshan is a current affairs commentator at CRI and CGTN and former Washington bureau chief of China Radio International (CRI).

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LU Xiankun Professor LU Xiankun is Managing Director of LEDECO Geneva and Associate Partner of IDEAS Centre Geneva. He is Emeritus Professor of China Institute for WTO Studies of the University of International Business and Economics (UIBE) and Wuhan University (WHU) of China and visiting professor or senior research fellow of some other universities and think tanks in China and Europe. He also sits in management of some international business associations and companies, including as Senior Vice President of Shenzhen UEB Technology LTD., a leading e-commerce company of China. Previously, Mr. LU was senior official of Chinese Ministry of Commerce and senior diplomat posted in Europe, including in Geneva as Counsellor and Head of Division of the Permanent Mission of China to the WTO and in Brussels as Commercial Secretary of the Permanent Mission of China to the EU. Benjamin Cavender Benjamin Cavender is a Shanghai based consultant with more than 11 years of experience helping companies understand consumer behavior and develop go to market strategies for China. He is a frequent speaker on economic and consumer trends in China and is often featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Channel News Asia. Sara Hsu Sara Hsu is an associate professor from the State University of New York at New Paltz. She is a regular commentator on Chinese economy. Xu Qinduo Xu Qinduo is CRI's former chief correspondent to Washington DC, the United States. He works as the producer, host and commentator for TODAY, a flagship talk show on current affairs. Mr. Xu contributes regularly to English-language newspapers including Shenzhen Daily and Global Times as well as Chinese-language radio and TV services. Lin Shaowen A radio person, Mr. Lin Shaowen is strongly interested in international relations and Chinese politics. As China is quite often misunderstood in the rest of the world, he feels the need to better present the true picture of the country, the policies and meanings. So he talks a lot and is often seen debating. Then friends find a critical Lin Shaowen criticizing and criticized. George N. Tzogopoulos Dr George N. Tzogopoulos is an expert in media and politics/international relations as well as Chinese affairs. He is Senior Research Fellow at the Centre International de Européenne (CIFE) and Visiting Lecturer at the European Institute affiliated with it and is teaching international relations at the Department of Law of the Democritus University of Thrace. George is the author of two books: US Foreign Policy in the European Media: Framing the Rise and Fall of Neoconservatism (IB TAURIS) and The Greek Crisis in the Media: Stereotyping in the International Press (Ashgate) as well as the founder of chinaandgreece.com, an institutional partner of CRI Greek. David Morris David Morris is the Pacific Islands Trade and Investment Commissioner in China, a former Australian diplomat and senior political adviser. Harvey Dzodin After a distinguished career in the US government and American media Dr. Harvey Dzodin is now a Beijing-based freelance columnist for several media outlets. While living in Beijing, he has published over 200 columns with an emphasis on arts, culture and the Belt & Road initiative. He is also a sought-after speaker and advisor in China and abroad. He currently serves as Nonresident Research Fellow of the think tank Center for China and Globalization and Senior Advisor of Tsinghua University National Image Research Center specializing in city branding. Dr. Dzodin was a political appointee of President Jimmy Carter and served as lawyer to a presidential commission. Upon the nomination of the White House and the US State Department he served at the United Nations Office in Vienna, Austria. He was Director and Vice President of the ABC Television in New York for more than two decades.