China's economy sees steady growth with more high-quality driving forces

China Plus Published: 2019-07-15 22:38:01
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Note: The following article is taken from the Chinese-language "Commentaries on International Affairs".

China's National Bureau of Statistics said on Monday that the country's GDP expanded 6.3 percent year-on-year in the first six months to over 45 trillion yuan (about 6.6 trillion U.S. dollars). The result was hard fought against the backdrop of global unilateralist and protectionist headwinds. The stable performance was achieved with more substantive progress.

Though the 6.3 percent growth for the first half of the year is a little lower than the 6.4 percent made in the first quarter, meaning China’s economic growth slowed in the second quarter, it was in line with slowing global growth. The growth remains however within the government's annual target of 6-6.5 percent set for 2019 as the country started shifting gears towards high-quality development. Major indicators such as the unemployment rate, consumer price index and producer price index remained stable. The growth of per capita disposable income was 6.5 percent, 20 basis points higher than GDP growth during the period.

A worker on a wheel loader assembly line at a machinery manufacturing plant in Weifang, Shandong Province, China, July 15, 2019. [Photo: IC]

A worker on a wheel loader assembly line at a machinery manufacturing plant in Weifang, Shandong Province, China, July 15, 2019. [Photo: IC]

More importantly, China’s economic restructuring continued in the first half. In terms of the industrial structure, the output of the service sector, which accounted for 54.9 percent of total GDP, rose 7 percent year-on-year, outpacing a 3 percent increase in primary industry and a 5.8 percent rise in secondary industry. The output for high-tech manufacturing rose by 9 percent, 300 basis points faster than overall industrial growth.

On the demand side, the role of consumption was further consolidated as it contributed 60.1 percent to GDP growth in the first half. And regional structure has improved thanks to the coordinated advancement in regional development strategies. The aggregate industrial output of central regions, for instance, increased by 8.4 percent, 350 basis points faster than that in the eastern region. In addition, green development was solidly promoted as the country’s energy consumption per unit of GDP decreased 2.7 percent. Taken together, these provide further evidence that China’s economic growth is gaining more momentum with high-quality driving forces.

The achievements were made thanks to the joint efforts of the Chinese government and enterprises. On the one hand, the government has adhered to a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy. Measures such as a tax and fee reduction of 2 trillion yuan (some 294 billion US dollars) for this year have helped ensure that the economy operates within a reasonable range.

At the same time, the market-oriented reform of China's state-owned enterprises has taken a critical step, where the strategic restructuring of SOEs continues. Private enterprises have continued to enter new areas and have transformed traditional sectors with new technologies. China's series of measures to further open its market have won recognition from foreign investors. In the first six months, foreign investment in the country increased by 7.2 percent year-on-year, which indicates the confidence the international community has in the Chinese economy.

The performance of the Chinese economy in the first half provides further evidence that it has strong resilience and capacity to tolerate risk. The fundamentals for healthy and stable economic development have not changed, with the overall momentum for long-term steady development likewise unchanged. The world has every reason to believe that the Chinese economy is capable of achieving its development goals this year.

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LU Xiankun Professor LU Xiankun is Managing Director of LEDECO Geneva and Associate Partner of IDEAS Centre Geneva. He is Emeritus Professor of China Institute for WTO Studies of the University of International Business and Economics (UIBE) and Wuhan University (WHU) of China and visiting professor or senior research fellow of some other universities and think tanks in China and Europe. He also sits in management of some international business associations and companies, including as Senior Vice President of Shenzhen UEB Technology LTD., a leading e-commerce company of China. Previously, Mr. LU was senior official of Chinese Ministry of Commerce and senior diplomat posted in Europe, including in Geneva as Counsellor and Head of Division of the Permanent Mission of China to the WTO and in Brussels as Commercial Secretary of the Permanent Mission of China to the EU. Benjamin Cavender Benjamin Cavender is a Shanghai based consultant with more than 11 years of experience helping companies understand consumer behavior and develop go to market strategies for China. He is a frequent speaker on economic and consumer trends in China and is often featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Channel News Asia. Sara Hsu Sara Hsu is an associate professor from the State University of New York at New Paltz. She is a regular commentator on Chinese economy. Xu Qinduo Xu Qinduo is CRI's former chief correspondent to Washington DC, the United States. He works as the producer, host and commentator for TODAY, a flagship talk show on current affairs. Mr. Xu contributes regularly to English-language newspapers including Shenzhen Daily and Global Times as well as Chinese-language radio and TV services. Lin Shaowen A radio person, Mr. Lin Shaowen is strongly interested in international relations and Chinese politics. As China is quite often misunderstood in the rest of the world, he feels the need to better present the true picture of the country, the policies and meanings. So he talks a lot and is often seen debating. Then friends find a critical Lin Shaowen criticizing and criticized. George N. Tzogopoulos Dr George N. Tzogopoulos is an expert in media and politics/international relations as well as Chinese affairs. He is Senior Research Fellow at the Centre International de Européenne (CIFE) and Visiting Lecturer at the European Institute affiliated with it and is teaching international relations at the Department of Law of the Democritus University of Thrace. George is the author of two books: US Foreign Policy in the European Media: Framing the Rise and Fall of Neoconservatism (IB TAURIS) and The Greek Crisis in the Media: Stereotyping in the International Press (Ashgate) as well as the founder of chinaandgreece.com, an institutional partner of CRI Greek. David Morris David Morris is the Pacific Islands Trade and Investment Commissioner in China, a former Australian diplomat and senior political adviser. Harvey Dzodin After a distinguished career in the US government and American media Dr. Harvey Dzodin is now a Beijing-based freelance columnist for several media outlets. While living in Beijing, he has published over 200 columns with an emphasis on arts, culture and the Belt & Road initiative. He is also a sought-after speaker and advisor in China and abroad. He currently serves as Nonresident Research Fellow of the think tank Center for China and Globalization and Senior Advisor of Tsinghua University National Image Research Center specializing in city branding. Dr. Dzodin was a political appointee of President Jimmy Carter and served as lawyer to a presidential commission. Upon the nomination of the White House and the US State Department he served at the United Nations Office in Vienna, Austria. He was Director and Vice President of the ABC Television in New York for more than two decades.