US pressure tactics can only harm renewed China trade talks

China Plus Published: 2019-07-31 02:17:59
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Note: The following article is taken from the Chinese-language "Commentaries on International Affairs".

Trade negotiators from China and the United States launched a new round of trade talks in Shanghai on Tuesday, the first formal sit-down between the two sides since the talks hit a wall in May.

However, just as the talks were getting underway, some on the U.S. side have been sending out negative signals by suggesting that the tariffs are hurting the Chinese economy, while helping the U.S., and by accusing China of seeking to renege on what was agreed at the last minute.

The U.S. side should have shown sincerity with the relaunched trade talks. Instead, it is taking this confrontational stance in an attempt to exert pressure on China and extract more concessions in the talks. This is contrary to the consensus reached by the two countries’ heads of state during the G20 summit in Osaka.

[File Photo: AP]

[File Photo: AP]

Over the past year, after 11 rounds of consultations, the two sides have reached consensus on most of the issues, but they have also experienced setbacks. The reason is that the United States has always sought to exert maximum pressure and raise unreasonable demands that undermine China's sovereignty and dignity, making it difficult for the two sides to bridge their differences. At their meeting in Osaka at the end of June, the heads of state of China and the United States agreed to resume the negotiations on the basis of equality and mutual respect, thus putting a possible solution back on track.

It has been noted that millions of tons of US soybeans are being shipped to China. Meanwhile, the U.S. side announced that it would grant exemptions on tariffs on 110 items of Chinese industrial products exported to the United States and expressed its willingness to lift restrictions on American enterprises supplying certain Chinese enterprises. These steps show the willingness of both sides to implement the consensus of the Osaka meeting, and also raised hopes for the new round of talks in Shanghai.

However, just as the talks restarted, some on the U.S. side have resorted to the old trick of maximum pressure. It has not worked on China in the past, won’t work now, nor will it work in the future. China has grown tired of it. More than a year of trade frictions have shown that there are no winners in a trade war. China’s economy faced increased downward pressure in the first half of this year. But even so it managed to achieve steady growth, with major macroeconomic indicators standing within the reasonable range and showing its strong resilience and potential.

By comparison, US GDP in the second quarter increased 2.1%, down from the first quarter’s 3.1%. It was the weakest growth since President Donald Trump took office in 2017. U.S. manufacturing fell into a "technical recession" in the first half of 2019, according to Federal Reserve data on industrial output. The IMF recently projected US growth to reach 2.9 % this year and 1.9% in 2020. That is one of the reasons why the White House has repeatedly urged the Federal Reserve Bank to lower interest rates. Some in the U.S. have turned a blind eye to these facts in an attempt to hide from the public their apprehension in the face of the US economic slowdown.

It makes no sense for the US to accuse China of making last-ditch revisions to draft agreements, but they often do this so as to blame China for the failure of previous trade talks. Alterations to the texts of a draft agreement are common in trade consultations. The US side has continuously adjusted its demands through the 11 rounds of talks. How can it then accuse China of reneging, when in fact it was its own violation of bilateral consensus, eating its own words, and the lack of sincerity that have caused setbacks in the trade talks?

It is not easy for China and US to come back to the negotiating table. To churn out a good result, the two sides need to consider each other’s reasonable concerns. If the US continues to resort to the old pressure tactics, it will only end up harming the US-China cooperative ties and letting go of the historic opportunity.


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LU Xiankun Professor LU Xiankun is Managing Director of LEDECO Geneva and Associate Partner of IDEAS Centre Geneva. He is Emeritus Professor of China Institute for WTO Studies of the University of International Business and Economics (UIBE) and Wuhan University (WHU) of China and visiting professor or senior research fellow of some other universities and think tanks in China and Europe. He also sits in management of some international business associations and companies, including as Senior Vice President of Shenzhen UEB Technology LTD., a leading e-commerce company of China. Previously, Mr. LU was senior official of Chinese Ministry of Commerce and senior diplomat posted in Europe, including in Geneva as Counsellor and Head of Division of the Permanent Mission of China to the WTO and in Brussels as Commercial Secretary of the Permanent Mission of China to the EU. Benjamin Cavender Benjamin Cavender is a Shanghai based consultant with more than 11 years of experience helping companies understand consumer behavior and develop go to market strategies for China. He is a frequent speaker on economic and consumer trends in China and is often featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Channel News Asia. Sara Hsu Sara Hsu is an associate professor from the State University of New York at New Paltz. She is a regular commentator on Chinese economy. Xu Qinduo Xu Qinduo is CRI's former chief correspondent to Washington DC, the United States. He works as the producer, host and commentator for TODAY, a flagship talk show on current affairs. Mr. Xu contributes regularly to English-language newspapers including Shenzhen Daily and Global Times as well as Chinese-language radio and TV services. Lin Shaowen A radio person, Mr. Lin Shaowen is strongly interested in international relations and Chinese politics. As China is quite often misunderstood in the rest of the world, he feels the need to better present the true picture of the country, the policies and meanings. So he talks a lot and is often seen debating. Then friends find a critical Lin Shaowen criticizing and criticized. George N. Tzogopoulos Dr George N. Tzogopoulos is an expert in media and politics/international relations as well as Chinese affairs. He is Senior Research Fellow at the Centre International de Européenne (CIFE) and Visiting Lecturer at the European Institute affiliated with it and is teaching international relations at the Department of Law of the Democritus University of Thrace. George is the author of two books: US Foreign Policy in the European Media: Framing the Rise and Fall of Neoconservatism (IB TAURIS) and The Greek Crisis in the Media: Stereotyping in the International Press (Ashgate) as well as the founder of chinaandgreece.com, an institutional partner of CRI Greek. David Morris David Morris is the Pacific Islands Trade and Investment Commissioner in China, a former Australian diplomat and senior political adviser. Harvey Dzodin After a distinguished career in the US government and American media Dr. Harvey Dzodin is now a Beijing-based freelance columnist for several media outlets. While living in Beijing, he has published over 200 columns with an emphasis on arts, culture and the Belt & Road initiative. He is also a sought-after speaker and advisor in China and abroad. He currently serves as Nonresident Research Fellow of the think tank Center for China and Globalization and Senior Advisor of Tsinghua University National Image Research Center specializing in city branding. Dr. Dzodin was a political appointee of President Jimmy Carter and served as lawyer to a presidential commission. Upon the nomination of the White House and the US State Department he served at the United Nations Office in Vienna, Austria. He was Director and Vice President of the ABC Television in New York for more than two decades.